Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 33.123219 35.684024 38.463311 41.725052 45.476062 49.689379 54.830226
2025-06-01 28.971461 32.304771 36.145825 40.969984 46.973437 54.352879 64.373540
2025-06-08 26.243269 29.864542 34.191041 39.862000 47.297330 57.032097 71.357671
2025-06-15 25.194619 29.218150 34.191858 40.987826 50.381044 63.530343 84.720994
2025-06-22 23.850929 28.036582 33.340134 40.814786 51.575091 67.472385 95.165656
2025-06-29 22.533863 26.762933 32.224390 40.111265 51.843965 69.977074 103.809967
2025-07-06 21.245912 25.429137 30.909579 38.973179 51.281592 71.009364 110.015997
2025-07-13 20.915630 25.327079 31.234013 40.179842 54.402733 78.598472 131.499284
2025-07-20 20.478498 25.042549 31.268404 40.936752 56.877685 85.540606 154.828922
2025-07-27 20.043324 24.727245 31.224818 41.550765 59.170275 92.620023 182.522807
2025-08-03 19.429778 24.125813 30.721542 41.386551 60.069494 97.099482 206.014633
2025-08-10 18.727177 23.363227 29.934161 40.696188 59.925944 99.330508 224.118872
2025-08-17 18.008593 22.568382 29.087977 39.899659 59.598175 101.340901 244.345361
2025-08-24 17.356185 21.843850 28.313826 39.171967 59.333039 103.505646 267.897198
2025-08-31 16.678946 21.055194 27.401946 38.144806 58.367572 103.783750 284.086010
2025-09-07 16.548993 21.056482 27.695422 39.190056 61.642825 115.654685 376.836499
2025-09-14 16.149317 20.641348 27.316974 39.029485 62.419676 121.145605 447.311513
2025-09-21 15.666208 20.083662 26.687329 38.376284 62.070090 123.343264 501.137857
2025-09-28 15.123008 19.418581 25.860623 37.318422 60.734562 122.296772 526.111381
2025-10-05 15.076393 19.496902 26.220909 38.439981 64.358031 137.983206 812.698176
2025-10-12 14.942633 19.436082 26.350790 39.142669 67.147817 152.413900 1304.722702
2025-10-19 14.788000 19.336172 26.409516 39.712227 69.717878 167.566186 2425.078871
2025-10-26 14.505400 19.028010 26.107717 39.559943 70.482895 175.999869 4250.010169